Tuesday, October 9, 2018

Week 7 Picks 2018

Many districts reach district play and the tensions ramp up. Who will announce themselves as a contender and who will slip?
 
This Week: (Season: 40-6)

Bullard Brook Hill @ Dallas Christian -- The Chargers enter the district slate with a 5-0 record and coming off a bye week. The Guard are the last team to come to Wheeler Field and leave with a district victory, besting the Chargers in 2014. The Guard have started 4-1 and also enter off a bye week into the district slate. Brook Hill has posted a plethora of points scoring 42, 42, and 50 in three of their wins. The Guard will need all of those points to succeed this week and score a big road upset. The Chargers have allowed no more than 14 in all five wins (though one was just a half). If the Guard can roll up 4 touchdowns, they'll have a great chance. In common opponents both teams played Plano JP2, with Brook Hill falling at home 48-29 and DC winning a road contest 37-7. If the Chargers do not get caught looking ahead to TKG next week they should run away with this one. Chargers win 38-13.

Trinity Christian - Cedar Hill @ Tyler T.K. Gorman -- The Tigers take the show to the Rose City having started 5-0. TCCH has picked right where they left off with the state championship last season and have only cemented their favorite status thus far. The Crusaders return home after winning blow out road games against Redwater and Reicher in their last two outings. A one point loss to Tenaha is the only blemish on either record entering district play. The Tigers offense overwhelmed Houston St. Thomas last time we saw them, posting 66 point before the bye week. The season opening win over Bishop Lynch still looks a great win, but blowing out All Saints seems very common this season. This looks to be TKG's best defense in several seasons, but last year's team looked that way too. When the Crusaders reached the tough district games, it fell apart. I think TKG should hold TCCH under last season's output of 75 when they met head-to-head, but the Tigers will be too much. TCCH wins 42-21.

Tyler Grace Community @ McKinney Christian -- The Cougars head to new district mate McKinney Christian at a 3-2 mark. The best defensive performance for Grace thus far is holding Wills Point to 34. Given those numbers its a testament to their offense that they've won more than they've lost. The Mustangs are off to a 2-2 start with just 1 home game thus far thanks to the weather. After a shutout win over Reicher showed some spark, being blown out by Plano JP2 does not bode well for the district slate. The Cougars offense has a stalwart unit, scoring 42+ in every game except for the trip to Parish Episcopal. The non-district slate has put DC, TKG, and of course TCCH as the top teams in the District 2. The winner here will have the first shots at ascending into that group, and Grace gets 2 of 3 at home if they can get past the Mustangs and Guard. I think the Grace offense will be too much for the Mustangs, but if they are not in usual 42 point form then the home team will be in it. Grace wins 48-28.

Trinity Christian - Addison @ Midland Christian -- Certainly no one had the Mustangs as a pushover in Division I this year, but I'm not sure many had them at 6-0 to start district play. MCS has not been dominant in any of their 6 wins, but they haven't played any pushovers either. Two wins over UIL 6A opposition and road wins at FWC and an always strong Monahans team. All Saints struggles probably has MCS pointing toward two big games with Liberty and Nolan and eyes on possibly a district title. The Trojans have long been the underdog that will beat you in the former District 1 of Division I and they appear to be that in this new District 1 too. They've only found the win column once in 6 outings and dropping last week's game to Plano JP2 has to be very concerning for the district slate ahead. TCA will not be a walkover, but this looks to be a tall task for the Trojans. The long trip and the staunch Mustang defense appear to be too much to overcome. Mustangs win 35-19.

Fort Worth Nolan @ Argyle Liberty Christian -- The Warriors and Vikings are both in position to benefit from All Saints struggles in the non-district and this district opener has large implications toward the district title given its 25% of these teams district records. The Vikings dropped their first game of the season last week to Bishop Lynch, but posted nice wins over Kinkaid and Celina earlier on. The Warriors did not get their chance at Celina due to the weather, but scored a quality rain-shortened shutout win over Brock before blowing out Hyde Park last week to complete a 2-3 non-district slate. The Warriors allowed at least 37 in each of 3 losses and just 10 points combined in their 2 wins. If the Vikings can put the ball in the endzone I can't see Liberty keeping pace. With early district favorite status on the line, I think Nolan scores an early road win. Vikings win 38-20.

Dallas Parish Episcopal @ Dallas Bishop Dunne -- The Panthers had a down campaign last year, finishing just 5-7. They've returned with a vengeance this year, starting 5-0 and averaging over 48 points per game offensively and allowing just over 7. The Falcons took a tough road loss to Houston St. Pius X before a national audience, but only by 17-7. The teams were a bit offensively challenged, but plenty can be credited to both defenses. In their 3 losses the Falcons have struggled offensively and will have to be better to best the Panthers. If Dunne can get to 30 they should have a chance, as that will keep the Parish offense off the field. I think the Panthers are too good on this day. Parish wins 40-22.

Flower Mound Coram Deo @ Lubbock Christian -- The Lions have started 5-0 allowing just 12 points in the last 4 weeks. The Eagles are off to a 3-2 start but comparing their non-district results is always tough given the geography. Losses to Sundown and Tulia space between three wins where the Eagles scored 51, 52, and 56. The Eagles certainly have the historical success edge, but winning last year really doesn't get you any wins this year. The Lions have to hold the Eagles under 30 to win I think, especially considering the bus ride to Lubbock. I can't see enough stops to pull this one off though. Eagles win 38-25.
 
Quick Hits: (Season: 38-19)

Grapevine Faith Christian over Frisco Legacy Christian
Fort Worth Christian over Fort Worth Southwest Christian
Plano Prestonwood Christian over Plano John Paul II
Houston St. Pius X over San Antonio Central Catholic
San Antonio Holy Cross over Corpus Christi John Paul II
Willow Park Trinity Christian over Fort Worth Temple Christian
Austin Hyde Park over San Antonio Christian
Houston Lutheran South over Sugar Land Fort Bend Christian
The Woodlands Christian over Houston Lutheran North
Lubbock Trinity Christian over Midland Trinity Christian
Austin Brentwood Christian over Shiner St. Paul

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