We cycle around to another week. November is near. In the past that might have been the month with title games, this year we will press almost the whole way to Christmas. Its great to have games every week and we'll see what the wheel of uncertainty might bring us this week. Maybe something unprecedented or unparalleled? 2 state final rematches make for some interesting headlines for starters. Good luck on the road to state this week.
This Week: (Season: 27-10)
Tyler Grace Community @ Dallas Christian -- The Chargers have been incredibly dominant on the season, posting margins of victory of 42, 36, 73, and 76. The DC defense has allowed just 26 points and none since October 2nd. The Cougars figured to be the strongest opposition in District 2 for DC with TCCH's departure and have largely delivered on that expectation coming with a 4-0 record to match the Chargers start to the season. Its been a less dominant though for the Cougars. The season opening win over Frisco Legacy looks better each week as Legacy continues to post wins in District 1. Only besting Cypress Christian in OT is a bit concerning. Both teams last opponent was McKinney Christian and both scored 70+ against the Mustangs. In contrast though, Grace saw the Mustangs post 54 in response. I wouldn't say it was close to the end as the Cougars had a 20+ point lead for much of the contest, but the contrast in defensive strength makes for a difficult outlook if you're the Cougars. The Chargers totals are probably a little inflated given the opposition they've faced, but I just don't see Grace being able to slow down DC enough to keep pace. The shutout streak should end, but with the game in Mesquite I can't pick the Cougars here. Let's be honest though, we kinda knew where this pick was headed. Chargers win 42-20.
McKinney Christian @ Bullard Brook Hill -- The Guard were off to a really nice looking 3-0 start including wins over Fort Worth Christian and UIL Anahuac, then they took a stern beating in Addison last week. TCA shutout the Guard, 42-0. There is a bit of a trap set here for Brook Hill with Tyler Grace and Dallas Christian the remaining teams on the schedule after this. The Mustangs are 2-3 on the season, but enter on two ugly defensive outings. 149 points in 2 weeks is a lot. The Mustangs have been a strong offensive team in the past, even in the struggles since moving to Division II. In 5 wins last season they scored 40+ in 4 of them. They have 59 in a win this year and 54 in 2 losses. Going 1-2 in games where you score 50 is quite a feet. A week ago, I would have picked Brook Hill to win by 20 or more. After the shutout last week I have a little bit of pause. I think the Guard are better, but the Mustangs should be in the game with their offense. I think something similar to the Grace game is possible, but its hard to predict 120 combined points, so not quite that many. Guard win 42-35.
Frisco Legacy Christian @ Grapevine Faith Christian -- At the start of the season this would have been a no doubt pick for Faith. The game probably wouldn't have made the top section of this column and would have been relegated to Quick Hits. Now, the Eagles are at 2-0 in district play and could potentially clinch the top spot in District 1 with the right set of results this week. The Lions figured to be a high finisher in District 1 but have struggled out of the gates at just 2-2. The Lions loss to Southwest Christian was the first upsetting of the expected order this season. The Eagles then followed that by beating the same Southwest squad with a dominant 2nd half. The success of Southwest running the ball against Faith has to be encouraging for Legacy given the similar offensive ideas. Given the game is in Grapevine, I like Faith to be better than they were against Southwest since that was a road game. Eagles look to be in the better position here and should get to 3-0 in district play to my eyes. Legacy wins 30-20.
Dallas Parish Episcopal @ Plano John Paul II -- A rematch of last year's title game definitely has to make the list this week. The Panthers are 5-0 and its hard to imagine anyone else as the top choice in Division I right now. Parish enters this week at 5-0 and having held the All Saints offense to just 7 points last week. It hasn't been all sunshine for the Parish as they allowed 24 points to Liberty who is 0-5 right now though controlled the game throughout and then pulled one from the fire in Midland. MCS really should have been Parish on October 9th, but that's a credit to how good the Panthers are. The same MCS squad though went to Plano last week and took a 24-13 loss to the Cardinals. John Paul has a long history of pretty ugly football, but Coach Teague has found plenty of good play in the last two seasons. I wasn't really expecting the Cardinals to match last season's playoff success, but limiting MCS to just 13 perks up a little hope for JP2. The Panthers though are too much again. Even in the strange pandemic season the 89-21 combined margin of last year's 2 meetings is too tall a mountain to climb. Panthers win 42-14.
Fort Worth All Saints @ Midland Christian -- The Saints scored a season opening win over Azle by the firecracker score of 70-50. After 2 cancellations All Saints dropped its first two district games, but they were against the expected top 2 of Parish and Nolan. The Mustangs had the odds on favorites, Parish Episcopal, on the ropes and didn't cash in. MCS followed that up with an offensive struggle against John Paul falling on the road, 24-13. Both teams are in desperate need of a victory. The Mustangs at least have a district win on the board, but both teams have to be feeling like they should be in the mix for the top of the district and the losses keep piling up. The Mustangs offensive performance against JP2 last week will not lead to a win here. The Saints offensive performance against Parish last week will not lead to a win here. Certainly the home game plays into MCS favor this week. The Mustangs are not usually the bunch to put two clunkers in a row and I think find their way back to a win. I think both teams get their offenses going again though. Midland Christian wins 40-35.
Corpus Christi John Paul II @ Austin Regents -- The Knights continue to dominate District 3 in the regular season. A 5-0 start has included scoring 42+ in all 5 games and just 1 opponent has reached double digits. They seem primed for another run to the title game. A possible double bye in the last of the regular season into the playoffs might be the only obstacle I see in their way. The Centurions (because District 3 has all the good mascots) had just 2 winning seasons in the decade before last year. Last year's 8-2 team lost its pair of games by just 29 points combined. An 0-2 start this year has been followed with three straight district wins. As St. Michael's continues to pile up wins, a 3-1 district record looks quite good. The offensive numbers show just 25 points per game for the Centurions. With a 200 mile trip to the Travis County forest ahead, I can't see them having enough to overpower the Knights. Regents offense is too much, winning 42-14.
Houston Lutheran South @ Sugar Land Fort Bend Christian -- I don't like to promote yet another Eagles into the column, but the 4-1 start from Fort Bend Christian with 3 district wins merits their inclusion. While they have not seen the expected top teams in Lutheran South and Second Baptist yet, the Eagles offensive explosion makes the author think this could be interesting. Outputs of 55, 56, and 49 in three weeks makes this a tough ask for Lutheran South. The Pioneers are coming off a humbling 49-0 defeat against Second Baptist. Both teams dominated Victoria St. Joseph similarly with 49 points on the scoreboard. Home teams are a favorite of the author, but its hard to pick Eagles over Pioneers and Lutheran South has won 5 of the last 6 meetings by at least 35 points. I think this is the turnaround though for Fort Bend and the offense is too much for LSA. Throw in the fact they're coached by a Dallas Christian alum and we've got a pick. Eagles win 37-23.
Shiner St. Paul @ Hallettsville Sacred Heart -- The smallest 11-man programs may not get the attention often, but these two always play the big games. Separated by just 14 miles, they've played 19 times since 2005 including at least 2 state title games. The two time defending champion Cardinals enter at 3-1 having put up 49 points in 2 of their last 3. Both teams lost close games to San Antonio Holy Cross and despite being 2 days short of November when this is played its still early in this season. The Indians have struggled a little, but did score a win last week. They will need to score more than their season high of 19 to win this one though. The Cardinals look to be the favorite here, but these two seemingly always play close games. Two meetings last year were won by St. Paul by just 11 points combined. Cardinals make it 4 in a row over the Indians. St. Paul wins 30-20.
Quick Hits: (Season: 35-14)
Plano Prestonwood Christian over Dallas Bishop Lynch
Fort Worth Nolan over Argyle Liberty Christian
Fort Worth Christian over Flower Mound Coram Deo
Fort Worth Southwest Christian over Cedar Hill Newman International
Brownsville St. Joseph over Austin Hyde Park
Austin Brentwood Christian over Boerne Geneva
Dallas Covenant over Dallas Shelton
Arlington Grace Prep over Dallas First Baptist
The Woodlands Christian over Victoria St. Joseph
Houston Cypress Christian over Houston Northland Christian
Houston St. Thomas over Houston St. Pius X