Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Week 3 Picks 2019

A few surprises last week for sure. A couple arrows pointing up, a couple pointing down, but lots of time to change your fate with all of district play still ahead.

This Week: (Season: 11-6)

Plano John Paul II @ Dallas Christian -- The Chargers have opened with two large wins, including allowing no points on defense and just one defensive touchdown on the scoreboard. The Cardinals have also blown out two opponents to get the season off to a big start. Coach Teague appears to be the coach that will finally turn around the Cardinals fortunes. John Paul II has no winning seasons in its history, reaching a high water mark of 4 wins last season. Last season DC held JP2 to a single touchdown in a handy 37-9 win in Plano. With the daunting quartet of teams ahead on the district slate for the Cardinals this has to feel like a huge game with a chance to reach 3-0 for the first time in program history. The Chargers offense looked a little unsettled at times against Bryan Adams and benefited from a terrible special teams night from the opponents to set them up with good field position and ultimately establish a big lead. If DC scuffles with scoring again this week it will be a tight battle. The usually strong DC defense should limit the Cardinals more than Krum and Brook Hill, but I can't see the Cardinals getting blown out in ugly fashion. A couple of late score widens the margin and DC wins 34-10.

Legacy School of Sport Sciences @ Trinity Christian - Cedar Hill -- The Tigers suffered their first loss since 2017 and their first loss to a private school since 2016 last week in overtime at Parish Episcopal. There is still plenty to like about the Tigers chances for a state title, and this week should prove no different. The Titans lost just 1 game last year in their first season, winning the TCAL. This season has seen Legacy lost by just 6 at Bishop Dunne and then defeat Kinkaid by 14. Now Kinkaid was blown out by Nolan, so what that means for the Division I contenders I'm not sure but it feels significant. I feel like the Tigers will be well prepared for this one to get back in the win column, but no easy win to be expected here. I think the Titans fall just short in this one. Tigers high valued offense should be enough to win this win. TCCH wins 30-18.

Parish Episcopal @ Tyler Grace Community -- The Panthers scored a huge victory with the TCCH overtime win, probably their biggest regular season win in program history. This sets the Panthers as strong contender in District 2, in what should an incredible 4-way battle with Prestonwood, Dunne, and Lynch. The Cougars are off to a good start with wins over Canton and Redwater, but Parish presents a much bigger test. The Grace defense that allowed 38 to Redwater will need to do much better to spring the upset this week, and the offense will need that 70 point form. The Panthers offense I think will be too much for the Cougars. Last year's margin was 56-7 for the Panthers. Maybe a tad closer but Parish wins handily, 42-14.

Huntington @ Bullard Brook Hill School -- The Guard posted an opening win over Southwest Christian before taking a 42-10 loss last week at John Paul II in Plano. Brook Hill has typically played well in the non-district and has always been frequently competitive in games they might appear to be overmatched. Last year the Guard went to Huntington and scored a 42-20 victory en route to a 6 win campaign. The Red Devils posted a 3 win season last year, and this season has started 0-2. A season opening loss to Warren reversed one of last season's wins for Huntington and then 61-0 loss will never leave a good impression, no matter the quality of the opponent. The Guard should have enough at home. Brook Hill wins 42-21.

Midland Christian @ Wall -- The Mustangs suffered a 35-28 home defeat to Americas last week, putting them behind a couple of teams in the early power rankings of District 1. Last year the Mustangs took down the Hawks in a 35-34 battle in Midland. This year's squad would appear to be a little worse given the Americas defeat and Wall's squad would appear to be a little better given the defeat of Mason in Week 1. As an aside, I really hope Wall's head coach, Houston Guy, eventually gets a job in Houston but we know I'm easily amused. Wall at home appears to be too much for MCS to overcome, but this is also just the type of game the Mustangs usually win. I'll take the Hawks at home 38-30.

Austin Regents @ Fort Worth Trinity Valley -- The Knights suffered a surprising set back at home, falling to FW All Saints 36-31. Even with this loss, Regents is likely the favorite among Districts 3, 4, and 5. The Trojans are off to an 0-2 start falling to Grapevine Faith and Southwest Christian. Regents dominated the game last season in Austin, 46-13. The Knights should quickly be back on track this week. While the home field should help some, I can't see the Trojans having enough. Regents wins 42-7.

Grapevine Faith Christian @ Caddo Mills -- While they just missed the cut for this column in Week 3 last year, Faith is a clear contender for 2nd in Division II. Its hard to push TCCH off the top step, but many will have their chance and Faith will likely be one. The Foxes have opened 2-0 like the Lions and this should be an interesting road test for Faith. Last year, Faith took a 28-13 home victory setting up a tough trip to Hunt County. The Foxes wrapped a 6-win campaign last season and looked a little stronger than last season in their season opener. The Faith offense moved a little slowly against Country Day last week, but should have the strength to manage the 4 touchdowns or so this one should require. Lions win a tight one, 28-21.

Quick Hits: (Season: 13-7)

Fort Worth Christian over Valley View
McKinney Christian over Fort Worth Temple Christian
Frisco Legacy Christian over Willow Park Trinity Christian
Dallas Shelton over Flower Mound Coram Deo
Dallas First Baptist Academy over Colleyville Covenant
Plano Prestonwood Christian over Trinity Christian - Addison
Brock over Argyle Liberty Christian
Dallas Bishop Lynch over Frisco Centennial
Desoto over Dallas Bishop Dunne
Shiner St. Paul over Austin Saints

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