Wednesday, September 15, 2021

Week 4 Picks 2021

Another year of district play is upon us. While some will have to wait a few more weeks, it should be an exciting group of games this Friday. Good luck and safe travels. 

This Week: (Season: 18-6)

Dallas Christian @ Addison Trinity Christian -- While they haven't played as much in recent times, these two go way back to the beginnings of TAPPS. Including DC's 1987 state championship, making 3-in-a-row, won 19-14 over TCA. This season, the Chargers reached 3-0 with a win in their 1st road game of the season. That wasn't surprising itself, but when you score a 1st quarter touchdown you don't expect that to be enough. It was in DC's 7-6 win over Argyle Liberty. The Trojans had lost 21 in a row before last season's pandemic campaign. TCA went 4-1 in a resurgent season. This year the Trojans are just 1-2, but both losses came to strong teams in China Spring and ESD. It was a turn around from defeating ESD a season ago and you wonder if the TCA defense can produce the same type of results that Liberty did. The Chargers defense continues to make the team hard to beat. DC has only allowed more than 16 points to just Regents in the title game over the last two seasons. Only Trinity Christian - Cedar Hill and Fort Worth All Saints have scored 30 points against DC since 2017. I just can't see TCA scoring enough to win this one. Even holding DC to 7 may not be enough and the Trojans aren't pitching a shutout. Chargers win 33-7.

Frisco Legacy Christian @ Bullard Brook Hill -- The Guard are off to a strong 2-1 start, with just a 3 point loss to Longview Spring Hill keeping them from a perfect start. No one has scored 30 in a Brook Hill game this year, neither the Guard nor their opponents. The Eagles are off to an ugly 0-3 start, but have also taken on strong opposition. Prestonwood, Liberty, John Paul is a strong group of Division I opponents. They were better last week, scoring 43 against Plano John Paul II, but much of it came late after John Paul posted 62 in the 1st half. The Legacy offense must find that form to get any points against the Brook Hill defense. I'm not sure the Guard can score like the previous blowouts the Eagles have suffered, but it should be enough to win. Brook Hill wins at home 28-7.

Tenaha @ Tyler Grace Community -- As ugly as the Legacy 0-3 start has been, the Cougars have topped them scoring just 8 points through 3 weeks. Regents and West is certainly a tough test to start the year, and while losing to Colleyville Covenant is certainly understandable you'd like to score at least. The Tigers are a strong UIL 2A program and has to be smarting a bit from a loss to Brook Hill last week, dropping them to 2-1. Grace has to find a ton better form to get back on track this season, and we just haven't seen it yet. Perhaps they might have a better numbers advantage against Tenaha, but they should have had that against Covenant last week too. Where do the points come from for Grace? Through 3 weeks they simply haven't. Tigers win 33-7.

Westlake Academy @ McKinney Christian -- The Mustangs are the somewhat forgotten member of District 2, and have struggled defensively in the early season. 112 points against through just two games has McKinney Christian at 0-2. The Blacksmiths make their first appearance in the picks as they've opened 3-0 this year. Westlake is averaging over 40 points per game and seems like a struggling Mustang defense should keep that train moving. The Mustangs have to get better defensively to move up in Division II. This is nice opponent to start with, but I think its an 0-3 start in Collin County. Blacksmiths win, and have the better mascot, 41-21.

Fort Worth Southwest Christian @ Episcopal School of Dallas -- Its all Eagles and all wins in this meeting. Southwest Christian is 3-0 after reaching the semifinals last season. ESD is 3-0 this year after playing just 3 games in last season's abbreviated SPC campaign. Episcopal defeated FWC 41-24 last week and this is a chance for Southwest to measure their district competition. Southwest has scored 133 points in 3 weeks, but this should be the toughest test for the offense. Still early and difficult to match up the opposition at this point. I think Southwest Christian is the better squad, but ESD is a very good team so far. Picking home teams is always a way to go as well. Hard choice here, definitely going Eagles. Southwest Christian wins 28-21.

Fort Worth Nolan @ Midland Christian -- District play kicks off in District 1 for 2021, and starts with a bang. The Mustangs have a 3-0 start with at least 42 points in every game. The Vikings have opened just 1-2, with losses to UIL champion Argyle and and a California team. With Prestonwood and Parish, these are the four favorites for District 1. This game go a long way to determining who gets the two byes to the quarterfinals. Nolan is better than 1-2, but we haven't seen them against any in-state private schools. The Mustangs are exactly as good as their dominant 3-0 record, but we haven't seen them against any private schools either. Both teams should be tested by the other's defense. Nolan took last year's meeting in Fort Worth 38-21. That seems a reasonable starting point for the 2021 meeting. However, the trip to the Permian Basin is never an easy one. Mustangs win a big one at home, 30-27.

Argyle Liberty Christian @ Dallas Parish Episcopal -- The Panthers are the defending state champions, but will look to get the district title back after losing to Nolan last season. A 2-1 start with just a 2-point loss to Austin LBJ is a great start with a new QB for the Panthers. Pushing Parish off the throne will not be easy. The Warriors lost just 7-6 to Dallas Christian last week after dominating Frisco Legacy in their opener. They're going to need a lot more than 6 to beat Parish, particularly on the blue field. However, I think the Liberty defense can keep this one interesting. I can't see them getting over the hump, but Jason Witten appears to have the Warriors playing better and I think they upset one of the top 4 before the season is over. Just not this week, Panthers win 40-16.

Quick Hits: (Season: 21-9)

Dallas Bishop Lynch over Plano John Paul II
Plano Prestonwood Christian over Fort Worth All Saints Episcopal
Grapevine Faith Christian over Nevada Community
Fulshear over Fort Bend Christian
Houston Second Baptist over Houston Cypress Christian
Houston Lutheran South over Tomball Concordia Lutheran
Muenster over Lubbock Trinity Christian
Arlington Oakridge over Fort Worth Country Day
Kountze over Beaumont Kelly
Hebbronville over Brownsville St. Joseph

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